Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IAN-14
in Tonga

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IAN-14 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Tonga
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 232 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (11 Jan 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Tonga)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 195 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 232 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

195 km/h Current Max.

Up to 23000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 05 Jan 2014 18:00 93 No people No people
Green 2 06 Jan 2014 06:00 93 No people No people Tonga
Green 3 06 Jan 2014 18:00 101 No people No people Tonga
Green 4 07 Jan 2014 06:00 101 No people No people Tonga
Green 5 07 Jan 2014 18:00 138 No people No people Tonga
Green 6 08 Jan 2014 06:00 158 No people No people Tonga
Orange 7 08 Jan 2014 18:00 185 No people 20 thousand Tonga
Orange 8 09 Jan 2014 06:00 175 No people 20 thousand Tonga
Red 9 09 Jan 2014 18:00 195 No people 20 thousand Tonga

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
green
1 1/5/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people -18.9, -175.5
green
2 1/6/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people -19, -175.5
green
3 1/6/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people -18.9, -176
green
4 1/7/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people -17.8, -176.1
green
5 1/7/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people -17, -176.7
green
6 1/8/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 101 no people no people -16.8, -177
green
7 1/8/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 111 no people no people -16.7, -176.8
green
8 1/9/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 2 158 no people no people -16.8, -176.5
green
9 1/9/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 2 167 no people no people -17.1, -175.8
red
9 1/10/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 3 195 18000 people 26000 people -17.8, -175 Tonga
red
9 1/10/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 3 195 23000 people 100000 people -18.7, -174.3 Tonga
green
9 1/11/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 3 185 no people 120000 people -19.8, -173.8 Tonga
green
9 1/11/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 2 167 no people 15000 people -21.3, -173.1 Tonga
green
9 1/12/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 1 148 no people no people -24.6, -172.1
green
9 1/13/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 1 121 no people no people -29, -169.8
green
9 1/14/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 no people no people -34.2, -164.5
**
Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country Region Province
Tonga Tonga

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Vavau International VAV 72 Civ. Unpaved Yes 5500
Haapai HPA 12 Civ. Unpaved Yes 3900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Neiafu TONEI Tonga
Pangai TOPAN Tonga

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Pangai, Tonga. This height is estimated for 11 Jan 2014 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 13 Jan 2014 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Jan 2014 01:00 Pangai Tonga  0.6